Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.755717 6.317600 6.935429 7.669878 8.525357 9.498079 10.698984
2024-10-20 4.730174 5.447218 6.295819 7.391111 8.793293 10.566290 13.043703
2024-10-27 4.162595 4.942935 5.911854 7.234594 9.046411 11.529247 15.365235
2024-11-03 3.792809 4.610290 5.663702 7.167596 9.346089 12.546559 17.968718
2024-11-10 3.662601 4.557689 5.755503 7.547546 10.305640 14.689597 22.987232
2024-11-17 3.480827 4.410716 5.692414 7.683405 10.905606 16.388455 27.882221
2024-11-24 3.250504 4.172734 5.471347 7.545375 11.032174 17.291149 31.571672
2024-12-01 3.071134 3.990060 5.310023 7.474208 11.248907 18.395629 36.216464
2024-12-08 2.891250 3.792287 5.107290 7.309690 11.269598 19.114516 40.291319
2024-12-15 2.762830 3.660100 4.991691 7.273016 11.512458 20.346803 46.521160
2024-12-22 2.649013 3.541474 4.886503 7.240171 11.753574 21.636263 53.877302
2024-12-29 2.590087 3.500985 4.899726 7.412030 12.423466 24.124965 67.757342
2025-01-05 2.432732 3.308652 4.667966 7.146096 12.204132 24.478061 74.322084
2025-01-12 2.289986 3.132944 4.454435 6.898613 12.000935 24.869736 82.053412
2025-01-19 2.180582 3.002878 4.306630 6.757449 12.006727 25.857056 94.663190
2025-01-26 2.095442 2.906088 4.207203 6.696881 12.183766 27.426575 114.259395
2025-02-02 2.085684 2.928439 4.310498 7.040118 13.377295 32.796706 181.381341
2025-02-09 2.040123 2.889561 4.304097 7.162646 14.060993 36.883704 265.961153
2025-02-16 1.960627 2.790518 4.184436 7.038160 14.080305 38.470053 332.997901
2025-02-23 1.895655 2.712464 4.097429 6.973933 14.252429 40.829165 449.239835
2025-03-02 1.823223 2.618638 3.976364 6.825346 14.165616 42.037212 566.369751
2025-03-09 1.771368 2.557247 3.911027 6.792201 14.405208 44.982762 851.272961
2025-03-16 1.723227 2.500000 3.849913 6.762510 14.651905 48.199148 1398.350202